Probable Lineups

4-3-1-2
Inter
4-3-3
AC Milan
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Probable Lineups Statistical Comparision

(52) 28 Goals 34 (64)
(41) 28 Assists 14 (36)
(6.7) 6.9 Average Ratings 7.2 (6.9)
28.2 Average Age 26.9
179.4 Average Height (cm) 183.7
(1.1) 1.1 Shots pg 1.6 (1.2)
(50%) 46% Aerial Duel Success 56% (53%)
(1.4) 0.9 Dribbles pg 0.9 (1.2)
(1.6) 1.5 Tackles pg 1.8 (2.1)
* Values in brackets (x) are overall player statistics in Serie A.

Missing Players

Player Reason Status Rating
Walter Samuel Out 7.22
Diego Milito Out 7.09
Gaby Mudingayi Out 6.4
Luca Castellazzi Out 6.66
Joel Obi Out 6.95
Álvaro Pereira Out 7.07
Andrea Ranocchia Doubtful 7.45
Player Reason Status Rating
Mathieu Flamini Out 7.06
Antonio Nocerino Out 6.41
Daniele Bonera Out 7.02
Marco Amelia Out 6.29
Luca Antonini Out 6.73
Nigel de Jong Out 6.9
Bartosz Salamon Out N/A

Team News

Inter
  • Alvaro Pereira is suspended, and Stramaccioni rested Nagatomo for the Europa League match to be sure to have the Japanese international available here.
  • Kovacic and Kuzmanovic are already regular fixtures in the first XI, but Stramaccioni may need more experience for this type of match: Stankovic could be playmaker.
  • With Milito out, Palacio is safe to play up front, while Cassano and Guarin should play in support. Alvarez will drop to the bench.
  • Andrea Ranocchia is almost certainly out, with suspected knee ligament damage.
AC Milan
  • Allegri has only a few options in midfield, and will probably keep the trio that played against Barcelona.
  • Balotelli will replace Pazzini up front, while Niang or Bojan may give Boateng some rest, unless the international from Ghana is used in midfield instead.
  • The defence could see just one change from the Champions League clash, with De Sciglio coming in for one of the two full-backs.

Prediction

  • Inter approach the derby as the team that threw away a huge lead that they had earlier build up over Milan in the first part of the season. That could also mean that the Neroazzurri have nothing more to lose and may want to show their pride.
  • Milan have just completed an impressive rise up the table and now might even have an eye on Napoli in 2nd. They also won 2-0 against Barcelona on a magic night at the Meazza in midweek. Allegri's team may need some rest, but it would be a waste to do it in what is probably the most important league match of the season.
  • "Usually the favourites don't win" is the most classic comment about any derby, always followed by each manager saying that the opponents are the favourites. Mind games help putting pressure on the opposition, but at the moment there no need to add to it. The game is crucial for city dominance, but also for the race for third place and to build consistency with the latest positive European results, for both sides.
  • Milan played an energy draining match against Barcelona in the week, but they have had one more day of rest than Inter, while Stramaccioni's troop had also to travel back from Romania. The manager that made his way through Roma's youth system had no chance to rotate his squad. Both teams could be tired, so substitutes will be a factor, and both managers' selections will be important too. Inter should leave Milan to control the match and try spring a counter-attack with Palacio.
Prediction:
Inter
1
1
AC Milan
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Head to Head Stats

R Team W D L Pts Form
3 A. Milan 21 9 8 72 lwwwdw
9 Inter 16 6 16 54 wllldl

Top Players

Inter
AC Milan
A. Ranocchia 7.45
M. Kovacic 7.26
R. Palacio 7.25
R. Montolivo 7.45
S. E. Shaarawy 7.3
P. Mexes 7.29
R. Palacio 12
D. Milito 9
A. Cassano 7
S. E. Shaarawy 16
G. Pazzini 15
M. Balotelli 12
A. Cassano 9
E. Cambiasso 5
R. Palacio 5
Robinho 5
K. Boateng 4
S. E. Shaarawy 4

Match Forecast

AC Milan will score as a result of individual skill  
AC Milan will score from a wingplay situation  
AC Milan will score as a result of an opposition error  
AC Milan will create many scoring chances  
* Match forecast is generated from clashes in team characters.

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Data sources: Data Sources